Saturday 20 May 2017, 22:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
89%
8%
3%
Home win
89.4%
Draw
8.1%
Away win
2.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.1% | 12.37 | — | — |
| Caen | 2.5% | 39.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.5% | 39.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.7% | 9.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| No | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Caen | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 10.6% | 9.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.3
|
3.9
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
6.0
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
13.7
|
6.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
11.3
|
5.4
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
7.4
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Caen
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
Aug 2018
Paris Saint Germain
3-0
Caen
May 2018
Caen
0-0
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2017
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Caen
Sep 2016
Caen
0-6
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.