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Saturday 22 April 2017, 18:00 Parc des Princes Full time
83% 11% 5%
Home win
83.4%
Draw
11.4%
Away win
5.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 83.4% 1.20
Draw 11.4% 8.77
Montpellier 5.2% 19.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.3% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.7% 36.75
Over 1.5 88.9% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.1% 8.99
Over 2.5 71.8% 1.39
Under 2.5 28.2% 3.55
Over 3.5 51.0% 1.96
Under 3.5 49.0% 2.04
Over 4.5 31.7% 3.16
Under 4.5 68.3% 1.46

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.6% 2.10
No 52.4% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 94.8% 1.05
Paris Saint Germain / Montpellier 88.6% 1.13
Draw / Montpellier 16.6% 6.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.7
1.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
7.0
5.3
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
11.1
7.7
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
11.3
7.7
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
8.5
5.9
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
5.2
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Montpellier goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.