Saturday 8 April 2017, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
45%
25%
31%
Home win
44.6%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
30.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.1% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Caen / Montpellier | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
5.6
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
11.4
|
7.4
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
9.2
|
6.4
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
5.2
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
2.2
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Montpellier
2-0
Caen
Sep 2018
Caen
2-2
Montpellier
Apr 2018
Caen
1-3
Montpellier
Aug 2017
Montpellier
1-0
Caen
Oct 2016
Montpellier
3-2
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.