Friday 24 February 2017, 21:45
Allianz Riviera
Full time
71%
18%
10%
Home win
71.3%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
10.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.3% | 5.45 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 10.4% | 9.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.6% | 5.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.5% | 5.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Nice / Montpellier | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
8.7
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.3
|
9.5
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.4
|
7.2
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Nice
2-0
Montpellier
Dec 2024
Montpellier
2-2
Nice
Mar 2024
Nice
1-2
Montpellier
Nov 2023
Montpellier
0-0
Nice
May 2023
Montpellier
2-3
Nice
Jan 2023
Nice
6-1
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.