Saturday 18 February 2017, 21:00
Stade du Moustoir
Full time
20%
24%
56%
Home win
19.6%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
56.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Nice | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.1% | 6.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient / Draw | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Lorient / Nice | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
10.4
|
10.0
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
11.6
|
9.9
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
5.4
|
4.8
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.8
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Nice
3-3
Lorient
Nov 2025
Lorient
3-1
Nice
Apr 2024
Nice
3-0
Lorient
Aug 2023
Lorient
1-1
Nice
Mar 2023
Nice
1-1
Lorient
Oct 2022
Lorient
1-2
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.