Saturday 4 February 2017, 21:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
57%
25%
19%
Home win
56.6%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
18.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Lorient | 18.8% | 5.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.6% | 7.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Lille / Lorient | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
5.6
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
11.7
|
5.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
9.8
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.2
|
5.8
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lille
1-1
Lorient
Aug 2025
Lorient
1-7
Lille
Jan 2024
Lille
3-0
Lorient
Aug 2023
Lorient
4-1
Lille
Apr 2023
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Oct 2022
Lorient
2-1
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.