Saturday 28 January 2017, 18:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
71%
19%
10%
Home win
70.9%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
10.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Lille | 10.2% | 9.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 16.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.7% | 4.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.1% | 5.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Lyon / Lille | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
9.0
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.1
|
9.4
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.6
|
6.9
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.3
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Lyon
1-0
Lille
Sep 2025
Lille
0-1
Lyon
Apr 2025
Lyon
2-1
Lille
Nov 2024
Lille
1-1
Lyon
May 2024
Lille
3-4
Lyon
Nov 2023
Lyon
0-2
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.