Saturday 21 January 2017, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
55%
25%
20%
Home win
54.5%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
20.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Lille | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.7% | 7.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Dijon / Lille | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
6.1
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
12.1
|
5.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
9.7
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
5.5
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2021
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-2
Lille
Jan 2020
Dijon
1-0
Lille
Nov 2019
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Mar 2019
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Oct 2018
Dijon
1-2
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.