Saturday 10 December 2016, 15:30
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
45%
30%
25%
Home win
44.9%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
25.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Marseille | 25.2% | 3.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.9% | 8.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.3% | 13.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Dijon / Marseille | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.9
|
9.2
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.6
|
13.8
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
8.4
|
3.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Marseille
2-0
Dijon
Jan 2021
Dijon
0-0
Marseille
Sep 2019
Dijon
0-0
Marseille
Feb 2019
Dijon
1-2
Marseille
Nov 2018
Marseille
2-0
Dijon
Mar 2018
Dijon
1-3
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.