Skip to content
Saturday 5 November 2016, 21:00 Stade Gaston-Gérard Full time
3–3
HT 3–1
30% 32% 38%
Home win
29.9%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
38.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon 29.9% 3.34
Draw 31.7% 3.16
Guingamp 38.4% 2.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.6% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.4% 7.46
Over 1.5 62.1% 1.61
Under 1.5 37.9% 2.64
Over 2.5 34.3% 2.92
Under 2.5 65.7% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.6% 6.41
Under 3.5 84.4% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 16.86
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon / Draw 61.6% 1.62
Dijon / Guingamp 68.3% 1.46
Draw / Guingamp 70.1% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.4
13.3
7.9
2.9
0.8
0.2
1
11.2
14.2
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
5.7
6.4
3.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
3
1.8
2.0
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: Guingamp goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.