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Saturday 29 October 2016, 21:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
42% 29% 29%
Home win
42.5%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
28.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 42.5% 2.36
Draw 28.9% 3.46
Dijon 28.6% 3.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.05
Over 1.5 69.7% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.3% 3.30
Over 2.5 42.7% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.3% 1.75
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.57
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.4% 10.59
Under 4.5 90.6% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.7% 2.05
No 51.3% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 71.4% 1.40
Bastia / Dijon 71.1% 1.41
Draw / Dijon 57.5% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
8.9
5.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
11.5
13.7
6.8
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
8.2
8.6
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
3.7
3.8
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.2
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Dijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.