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Saturday 1 October 2016, 21:00 Stade de la Beaujoire Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
28% 40% 32%
Home win
27.9%
Draw
39.8%
Away win
32.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes 27.9% 3.59
Draw 39.8% 2.51
Bastia 32.3% 3.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 74.4% 1.34
Under 0.5 25.6% 3.91
Over 1.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 1.5 58.7% 1.70
Over 2.5 16.5% 6.07
Under 2.5 83.5% 1.20
Over 3.5 5.3% 18.92
Under 3.5 94.7% 1.06
Over 4.5 1.4% 71.68
Under 4.5 98.6% 1.01

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 25.8% 3.88
No 74.2% 1.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes / Draw 67.7% 1.48
Nantes / Bastia 60.2% 1.66
Draw / Bastia 72.1% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
25.6
17.5
6.7
1.6
0.3
0.0
1
15.7
12.7
4.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
5.4
4.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
1.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nantes goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.