Sunday 25 September 2016, 21:45
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
51%
31%
17%
Home win
51.2%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
17.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Nantes | 17.5% | 5.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.2% | 6.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.9% | 8.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.1% | 24.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| No | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Marseille / Nantes | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.2
|
8.8
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.7
|
12.6
|
3.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.1
|
7.4
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.1
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Nantes
3-0
Marseille
Jan 2026
Marseille
0-2
Nantes
Mar 2025
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Nov 2024
Nantes
1-2
Marseille
Mar 2024
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Sep 2023
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.