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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 22:00 Roazhon Park Full time
3–2
HT 1–1
43% 35% 22%
Home win
43.4%
Draw
35.0%
Away win
21.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rennes 43.4% 2.30
Draw 35.0% 2.85
Marseille 21.5% 4.65

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.2% 1.25
Under 0.5 19.8% 5.06
Over 1.5 50.1% 1.99
Under 1.5 49.9% 2.01
Over 2.5 23.2% 4.31
Under 2.5 76.8% 1.30
Over 3.5 8.7% 11.47
Under 3.5 91.3% 1.10
Over 4.5 2.7% 36.91
Under 4.5 97.3% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.8% 3.24
No 69.2% 1.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rennes / Draw 78.5% 1.27
Rennes / Marseille 65.0% 1.54
Draw / Marseille 56.6% 1.77

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.8
11.3
3.8
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
18.8
13.1
3.9
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
10.0
6.3
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
3.4
2.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Rennes goals. Columns: Marseille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.