Saturday 17 September 2016, 18:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
88%
6%
5%
Home win
88.2%
Draw
6.5%
Away win
5.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 6.5% | 15.41 | — | — |
| Rennes | 5.3% | 18.92 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.8% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.2% | 595.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 99.2% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 0.8% | 122.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.5% | 28.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 9.3% | 10.70 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| No | 19.9% | 5.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Monaco / Rennes | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Draw / Rennes | 11.8% | 8.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
0.5
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
1.5
|
2.4
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
4.2
|
3.5
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
5.5
|
4.5
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
3.5
|
5.7
|
4.6
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Monaco
4-0
Rennes
Nov 2025
Rennes
4-1
Monaco
Jan 2025
Monaco
3-2
Rennes
Oct 2024
Rennes
1-2
Monaco
Apr 2024
Monaco
1-0
Rennes
Dec 2023
Rennes
1-2
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.