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Sunday 28 August 2016, 21:45 Stade Louis II Full time
Monaco
3–1
HT 2–0
Paris Saint Germain
31% 19% 50%
Home win
31.0%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
49.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco 31.0% 3.22 — —
Draw 19.1% 5.23 — —
Paris Saint Germain 49.9% 2.01 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.8% 1.01 — —
Under 0.5 1.2% 81.17 — —
Over 1.5 95.0% 1.05 — —
Under 1.5 5.0% 20.07 — —
Over 2.5 84.5% 1.18 — —
Under 2.5 15.5% 6.47 — —
Over 3.5 68.7% 1.46 — —
Under 3.5 31.3% 3.19 — —
Over 4.5 50.1% 2.00 — —
Under 4.5 49.9% 2.00 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 81.3% 1.23 — —
No 18.7% 5.33 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco / Draw 50.1% 1.99 — —
Monaco / Paris Saint Germain 80.9% 1.24 — —
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 69.0% 1.45 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.2
2.1
3.2
2.7
1.8
0.9
1
1.6
5.3
6.5
5.7
3.7
1.9
2
2.0
5.2
6.8
5.9
3.8
2.0
3
1.4
3.6
4.7
4.1
2.6
1.4
4
0.7
1.9
2.4
2.1
1.4
0.7
5
0.3
0.8
1.0
0.9
0.6
0.3
Rows: Monaco goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Monaco
D W
Paris Saint Germain
W W

Head to head

Mar 2026 Paris Saint Germain 1-3 Monaco Nov 2025 Monaco 1-0 Paris Saint Germain Feb 2025 Paris Saint Germain 4-1 Monaco Dec 2024 Monaco 2-4 Paris Saint Germain Mar 2024 Monaco 0-0 Paris Saint Germain Nov 2023 Paris Saint Germain 5-2 Monaco

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.