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Sunday 21 August 2016, 21:45 Parc des Princes Full time
Paris Saint Germain
3–0
HT 0–0
Metz
24% 68% 8%
Home win
24.3%
Draw
68.1%
Away win
7.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 24.3% 4.11 — —
Draw 68.1% 1.47 — —
Metz 7.6% 13.20 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 34.3% 2.91 — —
Under 0.5 65.7% 1.52 — —
Over 1.5 6.9% 14.49 — —
Under 1.5 93.1% 1.07 — —
Over 2.5 0.9% 108.81 — —
Under 2.5 99.1% 1.01 — —
Over 3.5 0.1% 1,052.63 — —
Under 3.5 99.9% 1.00 — —
Over 4.5 0.0% 12,500.00 — —
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 2.9% 34.22 — —
No 97.1% 1.03 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 92.4% 1.08 — —
Paris Saint Germain / Metz 31.9% 3.13 — —
Draw / Metz 75.7% 1.32 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
65.7
7.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
20.4
2.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
3.2
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Metz goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Paris Saint Germain
W
Metz
W

Head to head

Feb 2026 Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Metz Dec 2025 Metz 2-3 Paris Saint Germain May 2024 Metz 0-2 Paris Saint Germain Dec 2023 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Metz May 2022 Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Metz Sep 2021 Metz 1-2 Paris Saint Germain

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.