Saturday 10 September 2016, 21:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
18%
13%
69%
Home win
18.5%
Draw
12.5%
Away win
69.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 18.5% | 5.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.5% | 7.97 | — | — |
| Monaco | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.8% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.2% | 598.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 99.3% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 0.7% | 137.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.2% | 31.34 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 8.7% | 11.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 18.2% | 5.48 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| No | 9.0% | 11.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Lille / Monaco | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
1.0
|
1.4
|
1.5
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
0.2
|
1.2
|
2.4
|
3.5
|
3.9
|
3.4
|
| 2 |
0.3
|
1.4
|
3.1
|
4.5
|
4.9
|
4.3
|
| 3 |
0.3
|
1.2
|
2.6
|
3.8
|
4.2
|
3.6
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.8
|
1.7
|
2.4
|
2.6
|
2.3
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.4
|
0.8
|
1.2
|
1.3
|
1.2
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Monaco
0-1
Lille
Aug 2025
Lille
1-0
Monaco
Feb 2025
Lille
2-1
Monaco
Oct 2024
Monaco
0-0
Lille
Apr 2024
Monaco
1-0
Lille
Oct 2023
Lille
2-0
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.