Skip to content
Saturday 27 August 2016, 21:00 Allianz Riviera Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
3% 94% 4%
Home win
2.6%
Draw
93.6%
Away win
3.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice 2.6% 38.67
Draw 93.6% 1.07
Lille 3.8% 26.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 6.5% 15.42
Under 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Over 1.5 0.2% 450.45
Under 1.5 99.8% 1.00
Over 2.5 0.0% 20,000.00
Under 2.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 3.5 0.0%
Under 3.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0%
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 0.1% 900.90
No 99.9% 1.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice / Draw 96.2% 1.04
Nice / Lille 6.4% 15.67
Draw / Lille 97.4% 1.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
93.5
3.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
2.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nice goals. Columns: Lille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.