Saturday 20 August 2016, 21:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
20%
71%
9%
Home win
19.8%
Draw
71.5%
Away win
8.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Dijon | 8.7% | 11.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 5.5% | 18.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 0.6% | 157.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 99.4% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.1% | 1,754.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | 25,000.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.6% | 38.45 | — | — |
| No | 97.4% | 1.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Lille / Dijon | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
69.3
|
8.1
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.2
|
2.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2021
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-2
Lille
Jan 2020
Dijon
1-0
Lille
Nov 2019
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Mar 2019
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Oct 2018
Dijon
1-2
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.