Saturday 20 October 2018, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
42%
26%
32%
Home win
42.3%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
32.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Lille | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| No | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Dijon / Lille | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
6.3
|
4.8
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
11.9
|
7.7
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
9.0
|
6.2
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
4.8
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.9
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2021
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-2
Lille
Jan 2020
Dijon
1-0
Lille
Nov 2019
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Mar 2019
Lille
1-0
Dijon
May 2018
Lille
2-1
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.