Saturday 15 September 2018, 21:00
Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne
Full time
48%
30%
23%
Home win
47.7%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
22.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Lille | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.1% | 8.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens / Draw | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Amiens / Lille | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.1
|
8.8
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.4
|
13.5
|
5.3
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
8.5
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2019
Amiens
1-0
Lille
Jan 2019
Lille
2-1
Amiens
Apr 2018
Lille
0-1
Amiens
Nov 2017
Amiens
3-0
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.