Sunday 1 April 2018, 18:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
42%
32%
25%
Home win
42.2%
Draw
32.5%
Away win
25.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Amiens | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.2% | 6.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.1% | 7.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.7% | 21.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| No | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Lille / Amiens | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.2
|
10.9
|
4.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.5
|
13.9
|
5.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
7.4
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2019
Amiens
1-0
Lille
Jan 2019
Lille
2-1
Amiens
Sep 2018
Amiens
2-3
Lille
Nov 2017
Amiens
3-0
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.