Friday 16 March 2018, 21:45
Stade Louis II
Full time
84%
11%
5%
Home win
83.6%
Draw
11.3%
Away win
5.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.3% | 8.87 | — | — |
| Lille | 5.1% | 19.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.4% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.6% | 37.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.8% | 9.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| No | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Monaco / Lille | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 16.4% | 6.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
5.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
7.6
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.2
|
7.8
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.6
|
5.9
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.2
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Monaco
0-1
Lille
Aug 2025
Lille
1-0
Monaco
Feb 2025
Lille
2-1
Monaco
Oct 2024
Monaco
0-0
Lille
Apr 2024
Monaco
1-0
Lille
Oct 2023
Lille
2-0
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.