Saturday 10 March 2018, 21:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
38%
32%
30%
Home win
38.1%
Draw
31.6%
Away win
30.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.2% | 7.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.9% | 6.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.1% | 16.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Lille / Montpellier | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.2
|
11.2
|
5.8
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.1
|
14.2
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
7.5
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Lille
1-0
Montpellier
Dec 2024
Montpellier
2-2
Lille
Jan 2024
Montpellier
0-0
Lille
Sep 2023
Lille
1-0
Montpellier
Apr 2023
Lille
2-1
Montpellier
Sep 2022
Montpellier
1-3
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.