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Saturday 3 February 2018, 18:00 Stade Pierre-Mauroy Full time
Lille
0–3
HT 0–1
Paris Saint Germain
11% 20% 69%
Home win
11.2%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
68.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille 11.2% 8.97 — —
Draw 19.9% 5.02 — —
Paris Saint Germain 68.9% 1.45 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07 — —
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.98 — —
Over 1.5 78.5% 1.27 — —
Under 1.5 21.5% 4.64 — —
Over 2.5 54.5% 1.83 — —
Under 2.5 45.5% 2.20 — —
Over 3.5 32.2% 3.11 — —
Under 3.5 67.8% 1.47 — —
Over 4.5 16.2% 6.17 — —
Under 4.5 83.8% 1.19 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.4% 2.15 — —
No 53.6% 1.87 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille / Draw 31.1% 3.22 — —
Lille / Paris Saint Germain 80.1% 1.25 — —
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 88.9% 1.13 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
11.6
12.9
9.1
4.9
2.1
1
3.7
9.5
9.5
6.7
3.6
1.5
2
1.6
3.3
3.5
2.5
1.3
0.6
3
0.4
0.8
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lille goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Lille
D W L L W
Paris Saint Germain
W W W L W

Head to head

Jan 2026 Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Lille Oct 2025 Lille 1-1 Paris Saint Germain Mar 2025 Paris Saint Germain 4-1 Lille Sep 2024 Lille 1-3 Paris Saint Germain Feb 2024 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Lille Dec 2023 Lille 1-1 Paris Saint Germain

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.