Saturday 20 January 2018, 21:00
Stade de l'Aube
Full time
43%
30%
27%
Home win
43.0%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
27.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Lille | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.6% | 8.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.6% | 5.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.5% | 13.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes / Draw | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes / Lille | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.6
|
9.5
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
13.9
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
8.3
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.5
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2023
Estac Troyes
1-1
Lille
Jan 2023
Lille
5-1
Estac Troyes
May 2022
Estac Troyes
3-0
Lille
Dec 2021
Lille
2-1
Estac Troyes
Oct 2017
Lille
2-2
Estac Troyes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.