Saturday 13 January 2018, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
36%
33%
31%
Home win
35.9%
Draw
33.0%
Away win
31.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Lille | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.2% | 6.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.2% | 7.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.7% | 21.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| No | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Caen / Lille | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.2
|
12.5
|
6.2
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.8
|
14.3
|
6.2
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
6.8
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Caen
1-3
Lille
Oct 2018
Lille
1-0
Caen
Aug 2017
Lille
0-2
Caen
Feb 2017
Caen
0-1
Lille
Nov 2016
Lille
4-2
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.