Saturday 9 December 2017, 21:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
48%
32%
20%
Home win
47.8%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
19.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Caen | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.4% | 6.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.4% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.7% | 8.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.0% | 24.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| No | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Caen | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.4
|
9.7
|
3.5
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.9
|
13.1
|
4.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
7.4
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Toulouse
1-1
Caen
Dec 2018
Caen
2-1
Toulouse
Apr 2018
Caen
0-0
Toulouse
May 2017
Toulouse
0-1
Caen
Oct 2016
Caen
1-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.