Saturday 2 December 2017, 21:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
42%
32%
26%
Home win
41.7%
Draw
32.4%
Away win
25.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 25.9% | 3.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.0% | 6.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.4% | 7.45 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.8% | 20.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| No | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Lille / Toulouse | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.0
|
10.9
|
4.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.2
|
14.0
|
5.4
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
7.4
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Toulouse
0-4
Lille
Sep 2025
Lille
2-1
Toulouse
Apr 2025
Toulouse
1-2
Lille
Oct 2024
Lille
2-1
Toulouse
Feb 2024
Toulouse
3-1
Lille
Nov 2023
Lille
1-1
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.