Sunday 29 October 2017, 18:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
40%
33%
27%
Home win
39.7%
Draw
33.2%
Away win
27.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.0% | 6.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.3% | 8.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.3% | 23.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| No | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Saint Etienne | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.0
|
11.7
|
5.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.3
|
14.1
|
5.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
7.0
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Saint Etienne
2-3
Toulouse
Dec 2024
Toulouse
2-1
Saint Etienne
Sep 2019
Saint Etienne
2-2
Toulouse
Apr 2019
Saint Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
Sep 2018
Toulouse
2-3
Saint Etienne
Jan 2018
Saint Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.