Tuesday 25 September 2018, 22:00
Stadium de Toulouse
Full time
37%
33%
30%
Home win
37.0%
Draw
32.8%
Away win
30.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 37.0% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.0% | 6.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.5% | 7.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.9% | 20.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| No | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Saint Etienne | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.0
|
12.1
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.9
|
14.3
|
6.2
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
7.0
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Saint Etienne
2-3
Toulouse
Dec 2024
Toulouse
2-1
Saint Etienne
Sep 2019
Saint Etienne
2-2
Toulouse
Apr 2019
Saint Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
Jan 2018
Saint Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
Oct 2017
Toulouse
0-0
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.