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Friday 14 September 2018, 21:45 Parc des Princes Full time
Paris Saint Germain
4–0
HT 1–0
Saint Etienne
78% 15% 7%
Home win
77.8%
Draw
15.3%
Away win
6.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 77.8% 1.29 — —
Draw 15.3% 6.53 — —
Saint Etienne 6.9% 14.45 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05 — —
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.98 — —
Over 1.5 82.4% 1.21 — —
Under 1.5 17.6% 5.69 — —
Over 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Under 2.5 39.4% 2.54 — —
Over 3.5 38.3% 2.61 — —
Under 3.5 61.7% 1.62 — —
Over 4.5 20.8% 4.81 — —
Under 4.5 79.2% 1.26 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.4% 2.30 — —
No 56.6% 1.77 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 93.1% 1.07 — —
Paris Saint Germain / Saint Etienne 84.7% 1.18 — —
Draw / Saint Etienne 22.2% 4.50 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
2.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
10.5
7.3
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
13.6
8.6
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
11.4
7.2
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
7.1
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
3.6
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Paris Saint Germain
D W W W W
Saint Etienne
W W D D D

Head to head

Mar 2025 Saint Etienne 1-6 Paris Saint Germain Jan 2025 Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Saint Etienne Feb 2022 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Saint Etienne Nov 2021 Saint Etienne 1-3 Paris Saint Germain Apr 2021 Paris Saint Germain 3-2 Saint Etienne Jan 2021 Saint Etienne 1-1 Paris Saint Germain

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.