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Saturday 18 August 2018, 18:00 Stade du Roudourou Full time
12% 19% 69%
Home win
12.4%
Draw
18.6%
Away win
69.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Guingamp 12.4% 8.06
Draw 18.6% 5.37
Paris Saint Germain 69.0% 1.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.02
Over 1.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.9% 6.29
Over 2.5 63.2% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.8% 2.72
Over 3.5 41.0% 2.44
Under 3.5 59.0% 1.70
Over 4.5 23.0% 4.36
Under 4.5 77.0% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.5% 1.84
No 45.5% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Guingamp / Draw 31.0% 3.22
Guingamp / Paris Saint Germain 81.4% 1.23
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 87.6% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
8.5
10.6
8.3
4.9
2.3
1
3.0
8.7
9.6
7.6
4.4
2.1
2
1.6
3.7
4.4
3.4
2.0
0.9
3
0.5
1.1
1.3
1.0
0.6
0.3
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Guingamp goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.