Sunday 12 August 2018, 22:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
88%
9%
3%
Home win
87.9%
Draw
9.3%
Away win
2.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 9.3% | 10.72 | — | — |
| Caen | 2.8% | 35.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.6% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.4% | 7.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| No | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Caen | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 12.1% | 8.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
4.4
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.1
|
6.3
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
14.3
|
6.4
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.9
|
4.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.6
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Caen
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
May 2018
Caen
0-0
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2017
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Caen
May 2017
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Caen
Sep 2016
Caen
0-6
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.