Wednesday 20 December 2017, 21:50
Parc des Princes
Full time
88%
9%
3%
Home win
87.9%
Draw
9.3%
Away win
2.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 9.3% | 10.73 | — | — |
| Caen | 2.7% | 36.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.8% | 7.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| No | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Caen | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 12.1% | 8.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.3
|
4.4
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.4
|
6.2
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
14.5
|
6.3
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
11.0
|
4.8
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.7
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Caen
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
Aug 2018
Paris Saint Germain
3-0
Caen
May 2018
Caen
0-0
Paris Saint Germain
May 2017
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Caen
Sep 2016
Caen
0-6
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.