Saturday 9 December 2017, 18:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
84%
12%
4%
Home win
83.6%
Draw
12.0%
Away win
4.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.0% | 8.36 | — | — |
| Lille | 4.4% | 22.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.2% | 6.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
| No | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Lille | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 16.4% | 6.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
5.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.0
|
7.5
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
13.0
|
7.0
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.1
|
4.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.1
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Paris Saint Germain
3-0
Lille
Oct 2025
Lille
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
Mar 2025
Paris Saint Germain
4-1
Lille
Sep 2024
Lille
1-3
Paris Saint Germain
Feb 2024
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Lille
Dec 2023
Lille
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.