Saturday 25 November 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
46%
30%
24%
Home win
45.7%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
24.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Lille | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.2% | 8.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.5% | 5.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.9% | 14.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Lille | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.2
|
9.2
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.0
|
13.7
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
8.4
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Lille
1-0
Montpellier
Dec 2024
Montpellier
2-2
Lille
Jan 2024
Montpellier
0-0
Lille
Sep 2023
Lille
1-0
Montpellier
Apr 2023
Lille
2-1
Montpellier
Sep 2022
Montpellier
1-3
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.