Saturday 4 November 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
45%
32%
22%
Home win
45.3%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
22.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Amiens | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.7% | 7.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.5% | 22.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Amiens | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.6
|
10.2
|
4.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.6
|
13.6
|
4.7
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
7.5
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Amiens
1-2
Montpellier
Nov 2019
Montpellier
4-2
Amiens
May 2019
Montpellier
1-1
Amiens
Aug 2018
Amiens
1-2
Montpellier
Jan 2018
Amiens
1-1
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.