Saturday 18 August 2018, 21:00
Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne
Full time
41%
34%
25%
Home win
41.4%
Draw
33.6%
Away win
24.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.9% | 5.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.2% | 8.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.8% | 26.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| No | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens / Draw | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Amiens / Montpellier | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.9
|
11.5
|
4.7
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.4
|
13.8
|
4.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
6.9
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Amiens
1-2
Montpellier
Nov 2019
Montpellier
4-2
Amiens
May 2019
Montpellier
1-1
Amiens
Jan 2018
Amiens
1-1
Montpellier
Nov 2017
Montpellier
1-1
Amiens
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.