Sunday 6 May 2018, 18:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
40%
33%
27%
Home win
40.2%
Draw
32.9%
Away win
26.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.5% | 6.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.9% | 7.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.6% | 21.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| No | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Nantes / Montpellier | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.5
|
11.4
|
5.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
15.1
|
14.1
|
5.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
7.2
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Nantes
3-0
Montpellier
Aug 2024
Montpellier
1-3
Nantes
Apr 2024
Montpellier
1-1
Nantes
Oct 2023
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
May 2023
Nantes
0-3
Montpellier
Jan 2023
Montpellier
0-3
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.