Saturday 7 April 2018, 18:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
78%
15%
7%
Home win
78.1%
Draw
14.7%
Away win
7.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.7% | 6.79 | — | — |
| Nantes | 7.2% | 13.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 25.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.1% | 6.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Monaco / Nantes | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
7.0
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
8.7
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.8
|
7.6
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.1
|
5.0
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.7
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Monaco
3-1
Nantes
Oct 2025
Nantes
3-5
Monaco
Feb 2025
Monaco
7-1
Nantes
Jan 2025
Nantes
2-2
Monaco
May 2024
Monaco
4-0
Nantes
Aug 2023
Nantes
3-3
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.