Sunday 4 March 2018, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
64%
22%
14%
Home win
63.8%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
14.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Nantes | 14.0% | 7.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.4% | 6.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Marseille / Nantes | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
4.5
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
10.6
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
9.7
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.9
|
6.3
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Nantes
3-0
Marseille
Jan 2026
Marseille
0-2
Nantes
Mar 2025
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Nov 2024
Nantes
1-2
Marseille
Mar 2024
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Sep 2023
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.