Sunday 18 February 2018, 16:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
52%
27%
21%
Home win
52.0%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
21.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.1% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Nantes | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.5% | 10.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.9% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.1% | 9.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Nice / Nantes | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.5
|
7.1
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
12.8
|
5.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.3
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
4.8
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Nantes
1-4
Nice
Sep 2025
Nice
1-0
Nantes
Apr 2025
Nice
1-2
Nantes
Oct 2024
Nantes
1-1
Nice
Mar 2024
Nice
1-2
Nantes
Dec 2023
Nantes
1-0
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.