Saturday 20 January 2018, 18:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
41%
31%
28%
Home win
41.0%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
28.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.6% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Bordeaux | 28.4% | 3.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.2% | 8.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Nantes / Bordeaux | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Bordeaux | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.2
|
10.1
|
5.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
14.1
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
8.0
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Nantes
5-3
Bordeaux
Oct 2021
Bordeaux
1-1
Nantes
May 2021
Nantes
3-0
Bordeaux
Aug 2020
Bordeaux
0-0
Nantes
Jan 2020
Nantes
0-1
Bordeaux
Nov 2019
Bordeaux
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.