Tuesday 16 January 2018, 20:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
60%
26%
15%
Home win
59.6%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
14.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.9% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Caen | 14.6% | 6.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.8% | 9.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.8% | 2.52 | — | — |
| No | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Caen | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.8
|
6.2
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.8
|
11.7
|
3.7
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.3
|
8.9
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Caen
0-1
Bordeaux
Nov 2018
Bordeaux
0-0
Caen
Nov 2017
Caen
1-0
Bordeaux
Feb 2017
Caen
0-4
Bordeaux
Sep 2016
Bordeaux
0-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.