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Saturday 25 November 2017, 21:00 Stade Michel d'Ornano Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
27% 30% 43%
Home win
27.1%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
43.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen 27.1% 3.70
Draw 29.8% 3.36
Bordeaux 43.2% 2.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.89
Over 1.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.3% 3.00
Over 2.5 39.3% 2.55
Under 2.5 60.7% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.2% 5.21
Under 3.5 80.8% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.68
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.7% 2.19
No 54.3% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen / Draw 56.8% 1.76
Caen / Bordeaux 70.2% 1.42
Draw / Bordeaux 72.9% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
12.7
8.7
3.8
1.2
0.3
1
9.3
13.8
8.4
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
4.9
6.3
4.1
1.8
0.6
0.1
3
1.6
2.0
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Caen goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.