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Saturday 28 October 2017, 21:00 Stade Michel d'Ornano Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
42% 31% 27%
Home win
42.2%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
27.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen 42.2% 2.37
Draw 30.8% 3.25
Estac Troyes 27.0% 3.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.6% 7.91
Over 1.5 63.7% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.3% 2.75
Over 2.5 35.9% 2.78
Under 2.5 64.1% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.8% 5.96
Under 3.5 83.2% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.28
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.0% 2.32
No 57.0% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen / Draw 73.0% 1.37
Caen / Estac Troyes 69.2% 1.45
Draw / Estac Troyes 57.8% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.6
10.1
5.0
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
13.6
14.0
6.1
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.8
8.0
3.7
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.6
3.3
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Caen goals. Columns: Estac Troyes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.