Sunday 22 October 2017, 18:00
Stade de l'Aube
Full time
32%
26%
42%
Home win
32.3%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
41.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Lyon | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.3% | 4.69 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.3% | 6.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes / Draw | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes / Lyon | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
8.1
|
6.7
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
12.3
|
8.9
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
7.7
|
5.9
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
3.4
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Estac Troyes
1-3
Lyon
Aug 2022
Lyon
4-1
Estac Troyes
Jan 2022
Estac Troyes
0-1
Lyon
Sep 2021
Lyon
3-1
Estac Troyes
May 2018
Lyon
3-0
Estac Troyes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.