Saturday 23 September 2017, 21:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
75%
15%
10%
Home win
74.9%
Draw
15.2%
Away win
9.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.2% | 6.58 | — | — |
| Dijon | 9.9% | 10.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 35.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.0% | 9.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Lyon / Dijon | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
6.7
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
8.8
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.6
|
8.2
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.9
|
5.7
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.3
|
3.1
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Dijon
0-1
Lyon
Aug 2020
Lyon
4-1
Dijon
Oct 2019
Lyon
0-0
Dijon
Apr 2019
Lyon
1-3
Dijon
Sep 2018
Dijon
0-3
Lyon
Apr 2018
Dijon
2-5
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.